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Are PubMatic, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PUBM) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?

Simply Wall St·04/18/2025 10:46:16
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With its stock down 37% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard PubMatic (NASDAQ:PUBM). It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Specifically, we decided to study PubMatic's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for PubMatic is:

4.5% = US$13m ÷ US$277m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.05 in profit.

See our latest analysis for PubMatic

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of PubMatic's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

It is quite clear that PubMatic's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 12%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Hence, the flat earnings seen by PubMatic over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

As a next step, we compared PubMatic's net income growth with the industry and discovered that the industry saw an average growth of 6.7% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGM:PUBM Past Earnings Growth April 18th 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is PubMatic fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is PubMatic Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

PubMatic doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business. However, this doesn't explain why the company hasn't seen any growth. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by PubMatic can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Additionally, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that analysts expect the company's earnings to continue to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.