With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.5x in the Consumer Durables industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Lifetime Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LCUT) P/S ratio of 0.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Our free stock report includes 2 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Lifetime Brands. Read for free now.See our latest analysis for Lifetime Brands
Lifetime Brands hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Lifetime Brands' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Lifetime Brands' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 21% overall from three years ago. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.5% per year as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 6.2% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Lifetime Brands' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
When you consider that Lifetime Brands' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Lifetime Brands that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Lifetime Brands' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.