To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think USANA Health Sciences (NYSE:USNA) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on USANA Health Sciences is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = US$66m ÷ (US$748m - US$140m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, USANA Health Sciences has an ROCE of 11%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for USANA Health Sciences
Above you can see how the current ROCE for USANA Health Sciences compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for USANA Health Sciences .
When we looked at the ROCE trend at USANA Health Sciences, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 38%, but since then they've fallen to 11%. However it looks like USANA Health Sciences might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
To conclude, we've found that USANA Health Sciences is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has declined 63% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for USANA Health Sciences you'll probably want to know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.